بررسی عوامل موثر بر تجارت کالاهای فرهنگی و هنری مطالعه موردی:کشورهای منتخب عضو اوپک (کاربرد رگرسیون فازی)

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد اقتصاد فرهنگ و هنر، دانشکده‌ اقتصاد و مدیریت، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان، زاهدان، ایران.

2 دانشیار گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده‌ اقتصاد و مدیریت، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان، زاهدان، ایران.

3 دانشیار دانشکدە هنر و معماری ، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان ، زاهدان، ایران

4 استادیار گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده‌ی اقتصاد و مدیریت، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان، زاهدان، ایران

چکیده

سیاست گذاری­های مناسب در گسترش تجارت کالاهای فرهنگی و هنری یکی از مؤلفه‌های مهم در سرعت بخشیدن به توسعه اقتصادی است و می‌تواند منبع تأمین درآمدهای ارزی برای اقتصاد کشور باشد. با توجه به اهمیت این امر در مطالعه حاضر به بررسی عوامل مؤثر بر تجارت کالاهای فرهنگی و هنری از جمله اینترنت در کشورهای منتخب عضو اوپک طی سال‌های 2013-2019 پرداخته است. از این رو به کمک مدل رگرسیون فازی دیدگاه متفاوتی ارائه می­شود. با توجه به قابلیت­های مدل رگرسیون فازی شدت تأثیرگذاری برای هر یک از عوامل مؤثر بر تجارت کالاهای فرهنگی و هنری تحت عنوان مراکز، پهنای راست و چپ فازی به تفکیک کشورها محاسبه شده است. نتایج پهنای راست فازی برای کشور ایران حاکی از آن است که میزان تأثیرگذاری اینترنت، تولید ناخالص داخلی، نرخ ارز و تعرفه بر تجارت کالاهای فرهنگی و هنری کشور ایران  به ترتیب برابر با ضرایب 13e – 067/3 ، 951/0 ، 783/0 و 13e – 4315/2 است. نکته قابل توجه آن است. که نقش اینترنت در تجارت کشور ایران در مقایسه با سایر کشورها ناچیز است. از این رو توصیه می­شود که سیاست گذاری های مناسب در جهت گسترش اینترنت به منظور افزایش تجارت کالاهای فرهنگی  فراهم شود. 

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Investigating factors affecting the trade of cultural and artistic goods, a case study: selected OPEC countries (using fuzzy regression)

نویسندگان [English]

  • Saeedeh Mirbaluchzehi 1
  • Gholamreza Zamanian 2
  • Zahra Hossein Abad 3
  • Reza Ashraf Ganjoei 4
1 Student of Economics of Culture and Art, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Sistan and Baluchistan, Zahedan, Iran
2 Associate Professor, Economics of Department, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran
3 Associate Professor of art and architecture faculty, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran
4 Assistant Professor, Economics Department, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran
چکیده [English]

Proper policies in the expansion of cultural and artistic commodities are one of the important components in accelerating economic development and can be a source of foreign exchange earnings for the country's economy. Given the importance of this study, the present study explores the factors affecting the trade of cultural and artistic goods, including the Internet in OPEC members during 2013-2019. Therefore, with the help of the fuzzy regression model, a different perspective is presented. Due to the capabilities of the fuzzy regression model, the intensity of the influence for each of the factors affecting the trade of cultural and artistic goods as centers, the right and left fuzzy width of the fuselage is calculated by countries. The results of fuzzy right width for Iran indicate that the impact of the Internet, GDP, the exchange rate and tariff on the trade and artistic goods of Iran, respectively 3.067e-13, 0.951, 0.783 and 2.4315e-13 It is attention. The role of the Internet in Iranian trade is insignificant compared to other countries. Therefore, it is recommended that appropriate policies be provided to expand the Internet to increase the trade of cultural goods.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Fuzzy regression model
  • fuzzy right width
  • internet

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