نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکترای اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد، مدیریت و علوم اداری دنشگاه سمنان، سمنان، ایران
2 استاد اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد، مدیریت و علوم اداری، دانشگاه سمنان، سمنان، ایران
3 دانشیار اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد، مدیریت و علوم اداری، دانشگاه سمنان، سمنان، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
The shadow economy is a part of the economic activities of countries, the growth of which is accompanied by the expansion of illegal activities, the reduction of government revenues, and political and social instability. This paper examines the causes and consequences of the shadow economy in the provinces of Iran during the years 2000-2022 using the Multiple Causes - Multiple Indicators (MIMIC) model. The results from the model estimation show that, first, tax burden, unemployment rate, inflation rate, government size, budget deficit and per capita income have a significant effect on the growth of the shadow economy. Second, the trend of the shadow economy in Iran’s provinces, especially in recent years, is upward. These results indicate that government performance at the macro level and prevailing economic conditions in society affect the shadow economy at the local economic level. Therefore, reforming government policies and reducing the size of the government with the aim of strengthening local economies can be effective in controlling its size.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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